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Daniels BudgetWorks Advisory · Sample Work

Budget vs. actual report

A clear explanation of a $264,000 earnings shortfall, with a traceable variance bridge and an AI-assisted management review.

Illustrative sample · Fictional business data · No client information

January–September 2026 · Illustrative distributor · USD thousands

Download sample PDF
Budget EBITDA$674k10.2% of planned sales
Actual EBITDA$410k6.4% of actual sales
Earnings shortfall$264k39.2% below budget
Gross margin gap2.1 pts36.9% actual vs. 39.0% budget

Operating performance

USD thousands · U = unfavorable impact on earnings
Line itemBudgetActualProfit impact
Revenue6,6006,420(180) U
Cost of goods sold4,0264,050(24) U
Gross profit2,5742,370(204) U
Payroll & benefits1,2801,320(40) U
Other operating expenses620640(20) U
EBITDA674410(264) U

Gross profit and EBITDA are subtotals. Do not add their variances to the individual expense and revenue variances.

From planned earnings to actual earnings

$674k budget − $180k lower revenue − $24k higher cost of goods − $40k higher payroll − $20k higher overhead = $410k actual EBITDA

The direct bridge above holds each reported line at its budget amount. To separate sales scale from gross-margin performance, apply the planned 39% gross margin to the $180k sales shortfall: $70.2k of lost gross profit. The remaining $133.8k gross-profit gap comes from the aggregate margin-rate difference; product mix, price, and unit costs are possible explanations to investigate.

AI-assisted analysis example

From a flagged pattern to a management action

Prepared example of an AI-assisted review. The observations below are tied to the fictional report. This is a fixed demonstration, not a live AI service.

1. Observation supported by the data

Sales are 2.7% below plan, while EBITDA is 39.2% below plan. Cost of goods sold is $24k over plan despite lower revenue.

2. Hypothesis to investigate

Lower-margin sales mix, discounting, supplier increases, or inventory adjustments could explain part of the margin gap. The summary report alone cannot identify which.

3. Review and validation

Check invoice-level pricing, SKU margins, purchase-price changes, returns, and inventory adjustments. Reconcile payroll and overhead to the ledger before concluding that costs are structural.

4. Decision and follow-through

Finance and operations review the top 20 margin exceptions within 10 business days. Assign corrective actions and track gross margin against the 39% reference each month.

Action register

Illustrative management follow-up
ActionAccountable roleTimingMeasure
Investigate margin exceptionsFinance + Sales10 business daysGross margin
Reconcile overtime and vacanciesOperationsNext closePayroll vs. plan
Review discretionary spendingDepartment leads30 daysOverhead vs. plan

Put this kind of analysis to work.

Discuss the financial questions, reporting gaps, or planning decisions facing your organization.